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Is the United States Asserting On “Turkey” While Purging Its “Sandcastles”?

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Asseverations exceptionally made from the US camp indicate this change of behaviour. For instance, US Defence Secretary Jim Mattis asserted that the presence of PKK in Sinjar posed a threat to Turkey and that the terrorist organisation must withdraw from this region. Also, an invitation was made to Turkey lay off the Russian S-400’s and purchase the Patriots instead.

Furthermore, US President Donald Trump in his call to the French President Emmanuel Macron stated that “A cooperation should be established and developed with Turkey in Syria”. In other words, the US administration is demanding from the French government to settle down and concur with Turkey in Syria.

The US, aware of French ambitions and proactive lunges in the region by the Libyan operation had deemed it necessary to warn the Paris government to avoid further encounters within a significant conflict.

Arguably, Trump and his team are closely following the French media, notably the Le Figaro and seem that they have read the article; “The West Betraying its Friends in the East” penned by Renaud Girard.

The author of the article expounds that European states should do something to assist the YPG terrorist organisation for the sake of halting Turkey’s influence and power in the region and calls upon relevant parties to initiate a new Crusade, citing the Ottoman Empire and the Cyprus Peace Operation.

For now, it could be said that the US is not satisfied with this call. Hence, the outcome of the elucidation between Trump and Macron has been based on “developing” and “intensify” cooperation with Turkey.

The United Kingdom Has Once Again Stepped In!

Herein, the fundamental question is who convinced the other regarding Turkey? The United States or the United Kingdom?

The answer is undoubtedly the UK. The current situation of the US has made it inevitable for British strategic mindset and “World Deep State” to intervene.

Such arbitration has made itself evident in the averments of Trump toward Macron. It is also clear that Britain will not allow the German-French doublet gain influence and become a disruptive force in Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle-East. The UK-US tandem is trying to once again augment its impact/influence on Europe through the “Sergey Skripal Crisis” while sending a clear message that Ankara will not be left to the Berlin-Paris axis.

What Will Happen to The Greater Middle-East Project If All Sandcastles Are Purged?

Herein, the situation and the future the Greater Middle-East Project (GMEP) unavoidably questioned. The US is facing a severe crisis in Northern Iraq and Syria and has been stalemated in finding an ally as a substitute to Turkey. Those it found (such as PYD-YPG/PKK) are either bunking of or dying in the pits/tunnels they have built. Moreover, the US is not willing to be in a position that needs a confrontation with Turkey.

Apparently, there is a project, but it lacks the instruments to materialise and the legitimacy to keep it alive. Likewise, it is also suffering from ally loss while laying the ground for a strengthened “counter axis”.

The next step is inescapably a conflict with Turkey, which the West is aware of and have already been mentioned in previous articles; “The Sandcastles of the US being Demolished One by One…”, “The Answer to Those Who Claimed That “Afrin Would Be the Second Vietnam” is “the Spirit of Çanakkale” and “Three Confessions and One Truth in Ankara-Washington Axis!”.

Therefore, the only option remaining is getting on terms with Turkey. In fact, the latest egress by Trump indicates that a separate and essential role has been attributed to Ankara in the new strategy between the US and the UK.

In other words, the imposes of Sevres, and the GMEP are being abolished to initiate “win-win” cooperation with Turkey.

This once again leads us to the pre-Second World War conjuncture and Turkey-UK relations. The diligence of Britain in securing Turkey against the rising German-Italian threat and the efforts put to convince France is once again showing itself within the context of Syria.

Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Born in 1969, Dörtyol-Hatay, Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin Erol graduated from Boğaziçi University (BU), Department of Political Science and International Relations in 1993. After completing his master's degree at BU in 1995, Erol was accepted to the PhD program at BU in the same year. After completing his PhD at Ankara University in 2005, Erol became an associate professor in the field of “International Relations” in 2009 and a professor in 2014. Erol worked at the Eurasian Center for Strategic Studies (ASAM) between 2000 and 2006 and and served as the General Coordinator of ASAM for a period. In 2009, he served as also Founding Chairman and Board Member of the Institute for Strategic Thinking (SDE). He is also the Founding President of the Center for International Strategy and Security Studies (USGAM) and the President of the International Relations Institute of the New Türkiye Strategic Research Center (YTSAM). Prof. Erol has also served as the Director of Gazi University Strategic Research Center (GAZISAM). In 2007, Prof. Erol received the “Turkish World Service Award” from the Writers and Artists Foundation of the Turkic World (TÜRKSAV), and has received numerous awards for his academic work and his activities in the media. Some of them can be listed as follows: 2013 “Print Media of the Year Award” by the Association of Contemporary Democrats, 2015 “APM 10th Year Service Award”, “2015 Press-Intellectual of the Year Award” by the Writers' Union of Türkiye (YTB), “2016 Volunteer Ambassadors Media Honor Award” by the Anatolian Village Guards and Martyrs' Families, “2016 Türkiye Honor Award” by the Yoruk Turkmen Federations. Prof. Erol has 15 book studies. The names of some of them are as follows: “The United States of Turks from Dream to Reality”, “Türkiye-EU Relations: Foreign Policy and Internal Structure Problems”, “The New Great Game in Eurasia”, “The Search for Strategy in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Search for Security in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Republic of Türkiye-Russian Federation Relations”, “The Cold Organization of Hot Peace: The New NATO”, “Theoretical Approaches in Foreign Policy Analysis: The Case of Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Crises and Crisis Management: Actors and Case Studies”, “Kazakhstan” and “Current Issues in International Relations”. Since 2002, Prof. Erol, who has carried out radio programs such as “Eurasia Agenda”, “Strategic Perspective”, “Global Perspective”, “Analysis”, “File”, “News Desk”, “The Other Side of the Agenda” on TRT Türkiye's voice and TRT Radio 1 (Ankara Radio), made the programs “Arayış” on TRT INT television between 2004-2007, “Beyond the Border” on Kanal A television between 2007-2010 and “Foreign Policy Agenda” on BBN TÜRK television in 2020-2021. Prof. Erol, whose foreign policy column “Arayış” was published in Milli Gazete between 2012-2018, is consulted for his expertise in numerous national and international media outlets such as television, radio, newspapers, news websites and magazines. Prof. Erol, who also taught at Gazi University Department of International Relations and Ankara University Latin American Studies Center (LAMER) between 2006-2018, has been continuing his academic career as a faculty member at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University Department of International Relations since 2018. Since 2006, Prof. Erol has also taught in the Department of Political Science and International Relations at Ufuk University. The main areas of interest and expertise of Prof. Erol and the titles of his courses at the undergraduate, master's and doctoral levels in this area are as follows: “Geopolitics”, “Security”, “Intelligence”, “Crisis Management”, “Current Issues in International Relations”, “Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Russian Foreign Policy”, “US Foreign Policy” and “Central Asia and South Asia”. Prof. Erol, whose articles-evaluations have been published in many journals and newspapers, has been editor of academic journals such as “Eurasia File”, “Strategic Analysis”, “Strategic Thinking”, “Gazi Regional Studies”, “The Journal of SSPS”, “Black Sea Studies”. He is currently in the editorial boards of “Regional Studies,” “International Crisis and Political Research,” “Gazi Academic View”, “Ege University Turkish World Surveys”, “Ankara International Social Sciences”, “Democracy Platform”. Prof. Erol, who has been working as the Founding President of the Ankara Center for Crisis and Political Studies (ANKASAM) since 2016, is married and has three children.