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“Covert Cognisances” in the New US National Security Strategy

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President Donald Trump’s announcement of the new US National Security Strategy on December 18th, by quoting that “America is coming back, the United States is coming back strong” communicates essential clues on why he was chosen as the next president of the US. This colloquy once again demonstrates that the US is fact-pacing towards decline and every onset to reverse this period has so-far failed. Thus the US is seeking a multitude of scapegoats domestically and globally to initiate a “grand multidimensional reckoning” process.

The period for the US to implement another “Monroe Doctrine” and isolate itself from the world has long befallen. Therefore the sole expediency for the US which is in a state of ruthlessness and anger is to utilise “brute force”.

This, in a sense, can be interpreted as “Trump becoming Putin” or “Russification of the US” since the US like Russia is embracing “armaments” as its most potent tool.

In other words, the “deep state”, aware of the forfeiture of its economical-financial competitive power, which was also underlined in Trump’s inaugural speech is inclined to avert this collapse through conflict, a radical modus that the US knows best.

In its opinion, the US has many valid/justified reasons. Although Trump has put forward the reason as a quest by the US for global leadership, declaring “America is coming back, America is coming back strong”, the rationalism is US perpetuity.

Therefore, the new National Security Strategy announced by Trump and approved by the whole cabinet on 18th of December is a confession of this truth.

Proclamations in the National Security Strategy Document!

In this context, Trump’s “America First” strategy is imperative since it criticises previous administrations in failing to protect the interests of the American people and gives priority to border security.

The “America First” strategy is based on four principles; “Landwehr, preserving and strengthening the prosperity of America, sustaining of peace through the use of force and increasing America’s influence”, which boasts the end of “American graciousness”.

The US, which until yesterday attempted to influence states through providing aids (as seen in 1990’s through “Russia First” policy) has acknowledged that it neither has the power nor the ability to continue such policy. Thus the “deep state” cognisant that it will pay a hefty bill for ignoring many facts is initiating a new policy aimed at gaining public opinion and strengthening infrastructure.

However, this shift of policy is not a new development. Trump has put forward the “First America” rhetoric as a promise both during the election process and once again in his inaugural speech. This is why the statements of the new National Security Strategy are old news!

A “Super Power” That Cannot Protect its Borders

The fact that the US can no more protect its borders a critical indicator that illustrates the collapse of  US power. The US which carried out “pre-emptive strikes” in the Turkic-Islamic geography mainly in Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria and Libya is now facing the demise of its immediate environment.

As a matter of fact, US borders are riddled! The US aware that it could pay a hefty price for letting go the Latin American continent especially in Mexico has begun taking measures.

In this context, although Trump points to Asia-Pacific as the epicentre of future conflicts, he, shortly has to admit the same for his immediate vicinity. Thi ever-increasing presence of Russia, China and even Iran in the geography mentioned above is the most significant indicator of such occurrence. Therefore the US which perceives these countries as hostiles and destabilises them through domestic violence and encompassment will soon be in a similar situation. In this context, Trump in his speech, underlying the need for “a power struggle with neighbours” is critical.

Is the US becoming a “Third World Country”?

Another essential aspect of Trump’s speech are the accusations of incompetence and failure put forth regarding previous administrations. This utterance by Trump is significant in that it shows that the United States has been exposed to a disease, which was earlier identified with the “Third World Countries.”

The US leaders, which used to boast on being a state with a robust system and play down such accusations, are now reacting to their failures and weakness with a “Third World Reflex”.

The fact that Trump accusing previous administrations of not sufficiently protecting the interests of its people and utilising such claims to withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Agreement and the Paris Climate Treaty indicates that the US will go through a comprehensive “development plan”; also showcases a weak leadership and beginning of corruption within the administration.

Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Born in 1969, Dörtyol-Hatay, Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin Erol graduated from Boğaziçi University (BU), Department of Political Science and International Relations in 1993. After completing his master's degree at BU in 1995, Erol was accepted to the PhD program at BU in the same year. After completing his PhD at Ankara University in 2005, Erol became an associate professor in the field of “International Relations” in 2009 and a professor in 2014. Erol worked at the Eurasian Center for Strategic Studies (ASAM) between 2000 and 2006 and and served as the General Coordinator of ASAM for a period. In 2009, he served as also Founding Chairman and Board Member of the Institute for Strategic Thinking (SDE). He is also the Founding President of the Center for International Strategy and Security Studies (USGAM) and the President of the International Relations Institute of the New Türkiye Strategic Research Center (YTSAM). Prof. Erol has also served as the Director of Gazi University Strategic Research Center (GAZISAM). In 2007, Prof. Erol received the “Turkish World Service Award” from the Writers and Artists Foundation of the Turkic World (TÜRKSAV), and has received numerous awards for his academic work and his activities in the media. Some of them can be listed as follows: 2013 “Print Media of the Year Award” by the Association of Contemporary Democrats, 2015 “APM 10th Year Service Award”, “2015 Press-Intellectual of the Year Award” by the Writers' Union of Türkiye (YTB), “2016 Volunteer Ambassadors Media Honor Award” by the Anatolian Village Guards and Martyrs' Families, “2016 Türkiye Honor Award” by the Yoruk Turkmen Federations. Prof. Erol has 15 book studies. The names of some of them are as follows: “The United States of Turks from Dream to Reality”, “Türkiye-EU Relations: Foreign Policy and Internal Structure Problems”, “The New Great Game in Eurasia”, “The Search for Strategy in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Search for Security in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Republic of Türkiye-Russian Federation Relations”, “The Cold Organization of Hot Peace: The New NATO”, “Theoretical Approaches in Foreign Policy Analysis: The Case of Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Crises and Crisis Management: Actors and Case Studies”, “Kazakhstan” and “Current Issues in International Relations”. Since 2002, Prof. Erol, who has carried out radio programs such as “Eurasia Agenda”, “Strategic Perspective”, “Global Perspective”, “Analysis”, “File”, “News Desk”, “The Other Side of the Agenda” on TRT Türkiye's voice and TRT Radio 1 (Ankara Radio), made the programs “Arayış” on TRT INT television between 2004-2007, “Beyond the Border” on Kanal A television between 2007-2010 and “Foreign Policy Agenda” on BBN TÜRK television in 2020-2021. Prof. Erol, whose foreign policy column “Arayış” was published in Milli Gazete between 2012-2018, is consulted for his expertise in numerous national and international media outlets such as television, radio, newspapers, news websites and magazines. Prof. Erol, who also taught at Gazi University Department of International Relations and Ankara University Latin American Studies Center (LAMER) between 2006-2018, has been continuing his academic career as a faculty member at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University Department of International Relations since 2018. Since 2006, Prof. Erol has also taught in the Department of Political Science and International Relations at Ufuk University. The main areas of interest and expertise of Prof. Erol and the titles of his courses at the undergraduate, master's and doctoral levels in this area are as follows: “Geopolitics”, “Security”, “Intelligence”, “Crisis Management”, “Current Issues in International Relations”, “Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Russian Foreign Policy”, “US Foreign Policy” and “Central Asia and South Asia”. Prof. Erol, whose articles-evaluations have been published in many journals and newspapers, has been editor of academic journals such as “Eurasia File”, “Strategic Analysis”, “Strategic Thinking”, “Gazi Regional Studies”, “The Journal of SSPS”, “Black Sea Studies”. He is currently in the editorial boards of “Regional Studies,” “International Crisis and Political Research,” “Gazi Academic View”, “Ege University Turkish World Surveys”, “Ankara International Social Sciences”, “Democracy Platform”. Prof. Erol, who has been working as the Founding President of the Ankara Center for Crisis and Political Studies (ANKASAM) since 2016, is married and has three children.