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The Direction of New Kazakhstan in the Process of Strong Reforms

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Following the end of the protests that broke out in Kazakhstan in the first days of 2022, strong reforms began to be implemented in the country led by Mr. Kasım-Cömert Tokayev. In other words, since 2019, when Mr. Tokayev became President, he took the process called “The State Hearing the Voice of the People” to a much higher level.

The President of Kazakhstan, who does not deny the problems in the country, demonstrates a strong will to overcome these problems. In this sense, the interview in Kazakh language that Mr. Tokayev gave to the Habar National Channel on 17 February 2022 contains significant messages about the direction of the reforms in the country.

Kazakhstan Reform Period

In the interview in question, the Kazakh leader stated that the demonstrations started with peaceful attribution and that there was no destruction in the first stage, and revealed that he did not turn his back on the people who took to the streets with well-intentioned demands.

In this context, it is very important that Mr. Tokayev does not equate people who make relatively just demands with terrorists. The reforms carried out in Kazakhstan also reveal that well-intentioned demands are taken into consideration. However, as Mr. Tokayev stated, terrorist-related, specially trained criminal groups that caused the events to spiral out of control provoked actions. As a matter of fact, while Kazakhstan is making reforms that will increase the welfare of its people; It also takes a determined stance at the point of punishing those who are associated with terrorism and takes some measures to prevent similar attacks against the national security of the country.

According to Mr. Tokayev, the events in question are a coup attempt against the security of the country and the integrity of the state. Undoubtedly, New Kazakhstan will emerge from this process much stronger. Because the risk of seizing power by specially trained armed groups has been avoided. Now, the construction process of a strong Kazakhstan has been accelerated. So, it is time for reform.

Saying “The state is for the people” in the continuation of his interview, Mr. Tokayev also revealed the direction of the reforms carried out in his country. As stated by the President of Kazakhstan, the aim of the reforms in the country is to establish an equitable society, eliminate monopolies, ensure economic development, and put political transformation on a reliable basis. Because, according to Tokayev, well-intentioned people who participate in protests and are not terrorized have justifications. The majority of the population is poor. All the wealth of the state is in the hands of a small group. In other words, there is a serious inequality in income distribution. This is the reason why the protests started.

What makes the President of Kazakhstan successful is that he showed great democratic maturity and remarked that the state had learned the necessary lessons from the protests. Moreover, Mr. Tokayev has repeatedly expressed his views on this issue on various platforms, especially in the Kazakhstan Parliament.

Using the term “oligopoly” by stating that a limited number of people dominate the economy, the Kazakh leader said, “This is an obstacle to justice in general and indeed to real competition. If we do not solve this problem, our economy will not develop and the domestic political situation will worsen. Therefore, my main aim is to abolish monopolies in both economy and politics.”

Undoubtedly, Mr. Tokayev’s words mean that the country will focus on integration into the free market economy and serious steps will be taken in terms of democratization in politics. In other words, Mr. Tokayev displays a determined attitude towards liberalization.

Pointing out that not only the state but also citizens need to work hard to create a prosperous society, the Kazakh leader emphasized that the most urgent problem is the need to instill the idea of industriousness into the society and said, “Despite the known negative factors in the country, there are many opportunities for effective work. No one can say more about good and bad than the great Abay. The advice of Abay’s, effort, contemplation, gratitude and compassion is very important.”

Therefore, while the President of Kazakhstan wants to create a prosperous society through reforms in his country; He also knows that everyone has to work hard. This is a requirement for Kazakhstan to reach the place it deserves in the world.

The Aim of New Kazakhstan: Consolidation of Independence and Sovereignty

As it is known, Kazakhstan has passed through difficult and slippery roads and has survived many troubles and has managed to become a respected member of the international community. Kazakhstan, one of the most stable states in Central Asia, has succeeded to overcome the events in January 2022 thanks to the accumulation of its deep-rooted history.

Saying that “During the tragedy, our people showed their unity. We must pass it on to other generations” Mr. Tokayev pointed out that the events in January 2022 strengthened the sense of togetherness in Kazakh society, in line with the phrase “There is good in every evil” used in Turkish. Adapting the feeling of being a great and strong nation and state for Kazakhstan to future generations requires consolidation of independence and sovereignty.

Emphasizing that the country has a bright future, Mr. Tokayev stated that they will reinforce the sovereignty and independence of the state. Stating that the independence of the country is more valuable than anything else, the Kazakh leader said, “It is our common duty to protect it like the apple of our eye.”

In addition, Tokayev also touched upon language policies in the context of independence and sovereignty. In this context, Mr. Tokayev said, “As for our language, we will protect it. It will not be otherwise. Because in the most difficult periods of our history, our language has survived thanks to our foresighted elders and ordinary people. However, we need to regulate the language” he pointed to language reform.

However, the President of Kazakhstan said, “The problem is not a quick transition to the Latin alphabet. This issue should be thoroughly discussed. It should be thoroughly researched. We should not rush unnecessarily” and underlined those fundamental reforms need time. Because the steps are taken in hurry sometimes do not give the expected results.

In fact, it is possible to express this situation for the reform processes in Kazakhstan in general. In the construction process of the new Kazakhstan, Mr. Tokayev shows an example of visionary leadership and is determined to take the necessary steps according to the needs of the country. But it is clear that some issues need time. What matters is the strength of the will for reform. Mr. Tokayev reveals that he is a very consistent leader in this regard.

Balanced Multi-Vector-Directional Foreign Policy and Russia

The foreign policy of Kazakhstan, which is one of the most dynamic states in Central Asia, has a great impact on its success. In fact, the most notable architect of this policy is Mr. Tokayev. Because the President of Kazakhstan, who served as the Minister of Foreign Affairs between 1994-1999 and 2002-2007, contributed greatly to Kazakhstan’s becoming a respected member of the international community during the said period.

Mr. Tokayev, who was known as the only Foreign Minister in the world who spoke Chinese during his tenure and was actually an expert on China, also knows Russia deeply. Ultimately, Kazakhstan’s success in international politics is the result of the balanced policy it has established with these two great powers, which are its neighbors. In addition, Mr. Tokayev has established good relations with Western states due to his work as the United Nations (UN) Deputy Secretary-General. This situation has been instrumental in the successful implementation of Kazakhstan’s multi-vector foreign policy.

In the protests in January 2022, Mr. Tokayev asked for help from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), the security organization of which his country is a member, in a very normal way. As a matter of fact, the support of the CSTO prevented the protests from getting out of control.

In this direction, the President of Kazakhstan, who also made evaluations about Russia in the interview, said, “Russia is Kazakhstan’s neighbor and partner. In such a situation, it is quite normal for them to come to us for help. Not as “saving Kazakhstan”; It should be described as “an action to save our common interests”.

In addition, Mr. Tokayev stated that they are not indebted to Putin and said, “The CSTO unit is not a military unit affiliated to Putin or Russia. The military composition of this organization consists of soldiers of all member states. In addition to Russia; Belarus, Armenia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan also have military units. Kazakhstan is also a founding and full member of this organization. Therefore, everything is legal and reasonable.” made his comment. In addition, Tokayev said, “As for Russia, this great power has defended its geopolitical interests. Russia needs Kazakhstan’s stability… In general, we don’t owe anyone anything. Kazakhstan is a sovereign state. That’s why our policy is independent.”

Undoubtedly, the statements of the President of Kazakhstan clearly show the importance he attaches to the independence of his country and points out that the multi-vector foreign policy will continue.

As a result, Kazakhstan continues the social reforms initiated by Mr. Tokayev after he became President, which he called “a state that listens to the voice of the people “. Events in January 2022 accelerated this reform process. Because while Mr. Tokayev took a determined stance in the fight against terrorism by showing an example of wise leadership; he did not turn a deaf ear to the well-intentioned demands of innocent people. Therefore, the country has entered a period of economic and democratic breakthroughs. Undoubtedly, these breakthroughs will bring along the strengthening of Kazakhstan’s sovereignty, independence and Kazakh language. The emphasis on Kazakhstan’s independence and sovereignty, on the other hand, reveals that the balance-based multi-vector-directional foreign policy understanding will continue. In fact, the architect of this foreign policy approach is Mr. Tokayev.

Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin EROL
Born in 1969, Dörtyol-Hatay, Prof. Dr. Mehmet Seyfettin Erol graduated from Boğaziçi University (BU), Department of Political Science and International Relations in 1993. After completing his master's degree at BU in 1995, Erol was accepted to the PhD program at BU in the same year. After completing his PhD at Ankara University in 2005, Erol became an associate professor in the field of “International Relations” in 2009 and a professor in 2014. Erol worked at the Eurasian Center for Strategic Studies (ASAM) between 2000 and 2006 and and served as the General Coordinator of ASAM for a period. In 2009, he served as also Founding Chairman and Board Member of the Institute for Strategic Thinking (SDE). He is also the Founding President of the Center for International Strategy and Security Studies (USGAM) and the President of the International Relations Institute of the New Türkiye Strategic Research Center (YTSAM). Prof. Erol has also served as the Director of Gazi University Strategic Research Center (GAZISAM). In 2007, Prof. Erol received the “Turkish World Service Award” from the Writers and Artists Foundation of the Turkic World (TÜRKSAV), and has received numerous awards for his academic work and his activities in the media. Some of them can be listed as follows: 2013 “Print Media of the Year Award” by the Association of Contemporary Democrats, 2015 “APM 10th Year Service Award”, “2015 Press-Intellectual of the Year Award” by the Writers' Union of Türkiye (YTB), “2016 Volunteer Ambassadors Media Honor Award” by the Anatolian Village Guards and Martyrs' Families, “2016 Türkiye Honor Award” by the Yoruk Turkmen Federations. Prof. Erol has 15 book studies. The names of some of them are as follows: “The United States of Turks from Dream to Reality”, “Türkiye-EU Relations: Foreign Policy and Internal Structure Problems”, “The New Great Game in Eurasia”, “The Search for Strategy in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Search for Security in Turkish Foreign Policy”, “The Republic of Türkiye-Russian Federation Relations”, “The Cold Organization of Hot Peace: The New NATO”, “Theoretical Approaches in Foreign Policy Analysis: The Case of Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Crises and Crisis Management: Actors and Case Studies”, “Kazakhstan” and “Current Issues in International Relations”. Since 2002, Prof. Erol, who has carried out radio programs such as “Eurasia Agenda”, “Strategic Perspective”, “Global Perspective”, “Analysis”, “File”, “News Desk”, “The Other Side of the Agenda” on TRT Türkiye's voice and TRT Radio 1 (Ankara Radio), made the programs “Arayış” on TRT INT television between 2004-2007, “Beyond the Border” on Kanal A television between 2007-2010 and “Foreign Policy Agenda” on BBN TÜRK television in 2020-2021. Prof. Erol, whose foreign policy column “Arayış” was published in Milli Gazete between 2012-2018, is consulted for his expertise in numerous national and international media outlets such as television, radio, newspapers, news websites and magazines. Prof. Erol, who also taught at Gazi University Department of International Relations and Ankara University Latin American Studies Center (LAMER) between 2006-2018, has been continuing his academic career as a faculty member at Ankara Hacı Bayram Veli University Department of International Relations since 2018. Since 2006, Prof. Erol has also taught in the Department of Political Science and International Relations at Ufuk University. The main areas of interest and expertise of Prof. Erol and the titles of his courses at the undergraduate, master's and doctoral levels in this area are as follows: “Geopolitics”, “Security”, “Intelligence”, “Crisis Management”, “Current Issues in International Relations”, “Turkish Foreign Policy”, “Russian Foreign Policy”, “US Foreign Policy” and “Central Asia and South Asia”. Prof. Erol, whose articles-evaluations have been published in many journals and newspapers, has been editor of academic journals such as “Eurasia File”, “Strategic Analysis”, “Strategic Thinking”, “Gazi Regional Studies”, “The Journal of SSPS”, “Black Sea Studies”. He is currently in the editorial boards of “Regional Studies,” “International Crisis and Political Research,” “Gazi Academic View”, “Ege University Turkish World Surveys”, “Ankara International Social Sciences”, “Democracy Platform”. Prof. Erol, who has been working as the Founding President of the Ankara Center for Crisis and Political Studies (ANKASAM) since 2016, is married and has three children.